I think mostly domestic. The big question is what President Xi is going to do about Taiwan, or is he going to do anything about Taiwan? I think that will come in the next five years, whether or not.... People have been debating forever whether China is going take Taiwan back by force. I think that remains an open question, and we will see increasing signs of that in the next five years, I believe.
On October 4th, 2022. See this statement in context.